Your Predictions for the Media

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Your Predictions for the Media Dec 22, 2017 23:32:49 GMT 10

Post by SharksFan99 on Dec 22, 2017 23:32:49 GMT 10

A thread to share your future predictions for the media, whether it be for television, streaming services, newspapers or radio.

Here are a few of my predictions:

General:

* Digital Radio will become standard in the developed world by the Mid-Late 2020s.
* There will be further cuts in the print industry worldwide. Newspapers will still exist in ten years time, however they will be in a less healthy state.

Australia:

* Geoff Philips (WIN News newsreader) will retire sometime in the Early 2020s, possibly around 2020/2021.
* A new breakfast show will launch on Ten sometime in the next 12-18 months.
* In a few years time, Ten will be experiencing audience shares similar to their ratings in the Mid 2000s. They will come close to challenging for the title as Australia's second-most watched FTA network nationally.
* Ten Late News will be re-introduced before 2019.
* Despite Nine's promotional slogan for 2018 ("We Are The One"), Seven will remain as the most-watched FTA network nationally.

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Your Predictions for the Media Dec 23, 2017 11:21:13 GMT 10

Post by Deleted on Dec 23, 2017 11:21:13 GMT 10

Good idea for a thread! Here's a few (mostly Sydney-centric, of course) personal predictions for the Australian media heading into 2018.

TELEVISION

*ABC News will announce a gradual rollout of new sets (to better match the current graphics) and upgrades to HD production, maybe not until Late 2018 or even Early 2019 though.
*Mark Ferguson will continue to be the lead Sunday-Thursday presenter for Seven News Sydney in 2018, however his future at the news service will be put into serious question by the end of the year if the ratings don't substantially improve.
*After the Ben McCormack and Lisa Wilkinson scandals of 2017, Nine will attempt to wipe the slate clean at Today & ACA by refreshing the branding of both programs in Early 2018.
*At least one longserving Nine presenter or reporter will announce their retirement in 2018. There seems to be a major generational change happening at Nine News right now, and I suspect the recent retirements of Ken Sutcliffe and Laurie Oakes were just the beginning of that.
*Ten Eyewitness News: First At Five will probably have some form of major branding relaunch in 2018. When much of your current branding is older than the 2014 SBS World News package that was very recently replaced, you know it's time for Ten News to consider a change.
*More reporters and one or two presenters from regional TV news will leave for either the metropolitan/national news services or some form of PR/media advisory role.
*As NBN News gets more influenced by network decisions, unfortunately I wouldn't rule out the possibility of future cutbacks at that regional news service including the end of major elements of their identity like weekend news and maybe even having two newsreaders.

*Commercial TV networks will attempt to get the laws changed so they don't need to air kids programing anymore (arguing that it's no longer needed because of ABC KIDS/ME, etc.), to much protest and backlash from children's TV programing groups and the like.
*Along with steady growth for the program, a segment from Gogglebox Australia will be referenced in Federal Parliament.
*Viewers will (hopefully) get sick and tired of seeing so many cooking, renovation and dating/relationship/wedding type reality shows dominating the schedules of our commercial TV networks.

RADIO
*One of Sydney's most prolific breakfast radio programs will end at the conclusion of 2018 or 2019.
*Like what happens every year, at least half a dozen digital radio stations in Australia will relaunch/be replaced.
*One of the "shock jocks" will probably get in trouble again.

Overall Seven will continue to remain Australia's most watched FTA TV network. Nine will continue to perform well in the demos and in the three biggest East Coast cities, but continue to remain #2 while a CBS-owned Network Ten will improve in the ratings but remain 3rd. On Sydney radio, I'd probably expect 2GB, ABC Radio Sydney, KIIS 1065, Smooth 95.3 and WSFM (not necessarily in that order) to remain the most listened to radio stations in 2018 with Taking Lifestyle 954 and 2DayFM continuing to struggle.

The "#MeToo" movement of people speaking out against sexual harassment will probably continue in 2018, including in (but not limited to) the media and entertainment industries.

Dec 22, 2017 23:32:49 GMT 10 SharksFan99 said:

* Geoff Philips (WIN News newsreader) will retire sometime in the Early 2020s, possibly around 2020/2021.

Yep, I agree that Geoff Phillips is in the twilight years of his career and will probably retire sometime within the next five years. For WIN's home market in particular, that will probably be the biggest change in local TV news since Mary Franks left WIN News around the turn of the millennium. When the time comes, hopefully WIN will pick the right presenter to succeed Geoff and Nine will be ready to take advantage of a major opportunity to change the (probably) longheld local TV news viewing habits of the Illawarra, South Coast and Southern Highlands.

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Last Edit: Dec 23, 2017 11:23:39 GMT 10 by Deleted

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Your Predictions for the Media Dec 23, 2017 14:12:47 GMT 10

Post by SharksFan99 on Dec 23, 2017 14:12:47 GMT 10

Dec 23, 2017 11:21:13 GMT 10 @sydneycitytv said:

*At least one longserving Nine presenter or reporter will announce their retirement in 2018. There seems to be a major generational change happening at Nine News right now, and I suspect the recent retirements of Ken Sutcliffe and Laurie Oakes were just the beginning of that.

I know it's a bit hard to predict which Nine presenter/reporter will announce their retirement without any solid evidence, but which presenters/reporters do you think may make an announcement? I'm thinking that there is a good possibility that Lane Calcutt may announce his retirement from the network next year.

*Ten Eyewitness News: First At Five will probably have some form of major branding relaunch in 2018. When much of your current branding is older than the 2014 SBS World News package that was very recently replaced, you know it's time for Ten News to consider a change.

I agree. To coincide with a possible relaunch of the Ten Eyewitness News brand, it wouldn't surprise me if an additional bulletin (or bulletins) is launched as well. I believe CBS will want to strengthen Ten's news output in the immediate future, so it would be the perfect opportunity for Ten to re-launch their entire news service.

Yep, I agree that Geoff Phillips is in the twilight years of his career and will probably retire sometime within the next five years. For WIN's home market in particular, that will probably be the biggest change in local TV news since Mary Franks left WIN News around the turn of the millennium. When the time comes, hopefully WIN will pick the right presenter to succeed Geoff and Nine will be ready to take advantage of a major opportunity to change the (probably) longheld local TV news viewing habits of the Illawarra, South Coast and Southern Highlands.

It wouldn't surprise me if Amy Duggan took over the role once Geoff retires. At this stage, it's quite likely that it will either be her or possibly Melissa Russel.

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Last Edit: Dec 23, 2017 14:13:14 GMT 10 by SharksFan99

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Your Predictions for the Media Dec 23, 2017 15:18:13 GMT 10

Post by Deleted on Dec 23, 2017 15:18:13 GMT 10

Dec 23, 2017 14:12:47 GMT 10 SharksFan99 said:

I know it's a bit hard to predict which Nine presenter/reporter will announce their retirement without any solid evidence, but which presenters/reporters do you think may make an announcement? I'm thinking that there is a good possibility that Lane Calcutt may announce his retirement from the network next year.

TBH, I was actually thinking it might be one of Nine Sydney's senior news reporters like Mark Burrows or Damian Ryan because they've been around for quite a few years now!

But a Lane Calcutt retirement in the foreseeable future wouldn't overly surprise me either, knowing how he didn't become the network's new Federal Political editor when Laurie retired in August and that Nine seem to be positioning Chris Uhlmann & Charles Croucher as the future of their Federal Political coverage.

Dec 23, 2017 14:12:47 GMT 10 SharksFan99 said:

It wouldn't surprise me if Amy Duggan took over the role once Geoff retires. At this stage, it's quite likely that it will either be her or possibly Melissa Russell.

Yeah, you're probably right about either Amy or Melissa becoming the successor to Geoff when he retires.

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Your Predictions for the Media Dec 25, 2017 17:19:23 GMT 10

Post by SharksFan99 on Dec 25, 2017 17:19:23 GMT 10

Dec 23, 2017 15:18:13 GMT 10 @sydneycitytv said:

TBH, I was actually thinking it might be one of Nine Sydney's senior news reporters like Mark Burrows or Damian Ryan because they've been around for quite a few years now!

That would make sense as well. Out of the two, I believe Damian Ryan would be the most likely to announce his retirement. While Mark Burrows could just as well retire, he hasn't shown any signs of winding down. If anything, Mark Burrows is busier than ever, given that he has been presenting news bulletins on a semi-regular basis.

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